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Updated 26 June 2026

Public verified record.

Statistical record for listed head-to-head reads. All performance figures use flat 1u staking at the quoted decimal odds.

Statistical Snapshot

Pure flat-stake analysis across the full supplied sheet.

36-16 overall
Picks52Total tracked reads
Win rate69.2%36 wins, 16 losses
Net profit+15.48uFlat 1u stake per pick
ROI+29.8%Profit divided by total staked
Avg odds2.291.87 avg winner
Profit factor1.97Winning profit / losses
Max drawdown4.69uLargest peak-to-trough slide
Current streak6WBased on sheet order
Event-level snapshot

Average result per fight card

Fights on the same date are counted as one event. Across 14 event dates, the record averages +1.11u profit per event. The simple average of each event's own ROI is +4.7%, while the flat-stake return across all event picks is +29.8% overall.

Events148 profitable, 6 losing
Avg event ROI+4.7%Each event weighted equally
Avg event net+1.11uAverage profit/loss per card
$10 event return$48.20From $37.14 average stake
Weekly model cost $9.90 Current subscription price
Historical cover point About $9 per fight Roughly $33 across an average card
Above that line Historically profit Larger or extra bets moved past model cost

Using the historical average return, about $8.95 on each listed fight would have covered the $9.90 weekly model cost. At $10 per listed fight, the average event would have covered the model and left about +$1.16 for the week. Historical maths only, not a forecast.

Stats for dummies

What does “u” mean?

A “u” is one unit, which means one standard stake. -1.00u means one stake lost. +15.48u means the record is up 15.48 stakes overall. It keeps the results fair without locking them to a dollar amount. For example, if your unit size is $1,000, a return of +15.8u would represent a net profit of $15,800.

Cumulative Performance

Each dot is the running net result after a pick. The dashed line simply extends the historical average profit per pick across the next 12 picks.

Actual: +15.48u Projected at same pace: +19.05u

Projection is not a forecast or guarantee. It is a straight-line extrapolation of the current average profit per pick: +0.30u per 1u risked.

Performance read

  • 52u risked has produced +15.48u net profit.
  • The record is profitable across 2024, 2025 and 2026.
  • Average profit per pick is +0.30u.

Risk read

  • The worst drawdown across the sheet is 4.69u.
  • Prices of 3.00+ only hit 4-9, but remain profitable due to payout size.
  • Historical returns do not guarantee future returns.

Breakdown

By year

PeriodPicksW-LWin rateNetROIAvg odds
202454-180.0%+5.03u+100.6%2.61
202554-180.0%+1.79u+35.8%2.19
20264228-1466.7%+8.66u+20.6%2.27

By odds range

Odds rangePicksW-LWin rateNetROIAvg odds
1.00-1.491817-194.4%+4.73u+26.3%1.34
1.50-1.991511-473.3%+4.21u+28.1%1.75
2.00-2.9964-266.7%+3.77u+62.8%2.39
3.00+134-930.8%+2.77u+21.3%4.20

Full Pick Log

Decimal odds are taken from the supplied sheet. Net result assumes 1u risked on every pick.

DatePickFightOddsResultNet
2 Jun 2024Paulo CostaSean Strickland vs Paulo Costa3.02No return-1.00u
18 Aug 2024Jairzinho RozenstruikJairzinho Rozenstruik vs Tai Tuivasa1.42Return+0.42u
18 Aug 2024Dan HookerDan Hooker vs Mateusz Gamrot4.10Return+3.10u
18 Aug 2024Kai Kara-FranceKai Kara-France vs Steve Erceg2.54Return+1.54u
18 Aug 2024Dricus Du PlessisDricus Du Plessis vs Israel Adesanya1.97Return+0.97u
17 Aug 2025Dricus Du PlessisDricus Du Plessis vs Khamzat Chimaev4.18No return-1.00u
16 Nov 2025Bo NickalBo Nickal vs Rodolfo Vieira1.39Return+0.39u
16 Nov 2025Benoit Saint DenisBeneil Dariush vs Benoit Saint Denis1.51Return+0.51u
16 Nov 2025Carlos PratesLeon Edwards vs Carlos Prates1.64Return+0.64u
16 Nov 2025Michael MoralesSean Brady vs Michael Morales2.25Return+1.25u
25 Jan 2026Jean SilvaArnold Allen vs Jean Silva1.44Return+0.44u
25 Jan 2026Waldo Cortes-AcostaWaldo Cortes-Acosta vs Derrick Lewis1.28Return+0.28u
25 Jan 2026Sean O'MalleySean O'Malley vs Song Yadong1.43Return+0.43u
25 Jan 2026Paddy PimblettJustin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett1.39No return-1.00u
1 Feb 2026Jamie MullarkeyQuillan Salkilld vs Jamie Mullarkey7.50No return-1.00u
1 Feb 2026Tallison TeixeiraTai Tuivasa vs Tallison Teixeira1.31Return+0.31u
1 Feb 2026Rafael FizievRafael Fiziev vs Mauricio Ruffy1.90No return-1.00u
22 Feb 2026Zachary ReeseZachary Reese vs Michel Pereira2.40No return-1.00u
22 Feb 2026Josiah HarrellJacobe Smith vs Josiah Harrell3.64No return-1.00u
22 Feb 2026Serghei SpivacSerghei Spivac vs Ante Delija1.95Return+0.95u
22 Feb 2026Sean StricklandSean Strickland vs Anthony Hernandez3.02Return+2.02u
22 Feb 2026Melquizael CostaDan Ige vs Melquizael Costa1.40Return+0.40u
22 Feb 2026Uros MedicGeoff Neal vs Uros Medic2.78Return+1.78u
1 Mar 2026Angel PachecoSantiago Luna vs Angel Pacheco6.70No return-1.00u
1 Mar 2026Imanol RodriguezImanol Rodriguez vs Kevin Borjas1.21Return+0.21u
1 Mar 2026Felipe BunesEdgar Chairez vs Felipe Bunes3.47No return-1.00u
1 Mar 2026King GreenDaniel Zellhuber vs King Green3.90Return+2.90u
1 Mar 2026David MartinezMarlon Vera vs David Martinez1.29Return+0.29u
22 Mar 2026Luke RileyLuke Riley vs Michael Aswell1.43Return+0.43u
22 Mar 2026Movsar EvloevMovsar Evloev vs Lerone Murphy1.40Return+0.40u
29 Mar 2026Terrance McKinneyTerrance McKinney vs Kyle Nelson1.53Return+0.53u
29 Mar 2026Mansur Abdul-MalikMansur Abdul-Malik vs Yousri Belgaroui1.69No return-1.00u
29 Mar 2026Julian ErosaJulian Erosa vs Lerryan Douglas3.70No return-1.00u
29 Mar 2026Joe PyferJoe Pyfer vs Israel Adesanya2.20Return+1.20u
12 Apr 2026Mateusz GamrotMateusz Gamrot vs Esteban Ribovics1.43Return+0.43u
12 Apr 2026Patricio PitbullPatricio Pitbull vs Aaron Pico3.07No return-1.00u
12 Apr 2026Cub SwansonCub Swanson vs Nate Landwehr1.79Return+0.79u
12 Apr 2026Dominick ReyesDominick Reyes vs Johnny Walker1.54Return+0.54u
12 Apr 2026Josh HokitCurtis Blaydes vs Josh Hokit1.85Return+0.85u
12 Apr 2026Carlos UlbergJiri Prochazka vs Carlos Ulberg1.86Return+0.86u
19 Apr 2026Karine SilvaJasmine Jasudavicius vs Karine Silva3.50No return-1.00u
19 Apr 2026Mandel NalloMandel Nallo vs Jai Herbert1.57No return-1.00u
19 Apr 2026Charles JourdainCharles Jourdain vs Kyler Phillips1.66Return+0.66u
19 Apr 2026Mike MalottGilbert Burns vs Mike Malott1.38Return+0.38u
2 May 2026Jack Della MaddalenaJack Della Maddalena vs Carlos Prates1.88No return-1.00u
15 Jun 2026Steve GarciaSteve Garcia vs Diego Lopes2.15No return-1.00u
15 Jun 2026Josh HokitJosh Hokit vs Derrick Lewis1.22Return+0.22u
15 Jun 2026Bo NickalBo Nickal vs Kyle Daukaus1.30Return+0.30u
15 Jun 2026Mauricio RuffyMauricio Ruffy vs Michael Chandler1.18Return+0.18u
15 Jun 2026Sean O'MalleySean O'Malley vs Aiemann Zahabi1.22Return+0.22u
15 Jun 2026Ciryl GaneCiryl Gane vs Alex Pereira1.91Return+0.91u
15 Jun 2026Justin GaethjeJustin Gaethje vs Ilia Topuria4.75Return+3.75u

Record Notes

Scope: UFC/MMA head-to-head reads from the supplied sheet. All figures use flat 1u staking so the return profile can be compared consistently. No round props, method props, parlays or bookmaker services are included. Names have been lightly standardised where spelling was obvious.